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Trump’s tariffs: what they mean if you export to the USA

For Australian small businesses exporting to the United States, the recently imposed US tariffs represent a significant and immediate shift in trading conditions. These are not merely political manoeuvres—they are tangible cost increases that may directly affect your bottom line.

Understanding the Tariff Introduction

As part of his renewed ‘America First’ policy, President Trump has reintroduced comprehensive tariffs on all of the United States’ trading partners. These measures reflect his administration’s continued focus on strengthening domestic manufacturing and reducing reliance on imports. While the long-term success of this policy remains debated among economists, the short-term implications for exporters are more certain.

What Has Been Announced?

A flat 10% tariff will be imposed on all imports into the US from foreign partners, effective from 10 March 2025. This initial tariff is set to remain in place for 90 days and applies irrespective of existing trade relationships.

Key Impacts on Australian Exporters

The introduction of these tariffs may significantly increase the cost base associated with exporting to the US, particularly when combined with existing production and logistics costs. Potential financial impacts include:

  • Reduced Margin or Competitiveness
    Businesses will need to decide whether to absorb the cost of the tariff—diminishing profit margins—or pass the increase onto customers, which may affect sales volumes.
  • Operational and Administrative Strain
    Managing new compliance obligations may require increased internal resources. Additionally, the need to pay tariffs upfront may place added pressure on working capital.
  • Strategic and Financial Uncertainty
    Ongoing trade volatility under the current US administration makes forward planning and investment decisions particularly challenging.
  • Increased Supply Chain Costs
    Businesses sourcing components internationally may face cascading costs across their entire supply chain, potentially impacting overall production efficiency.
  • Sales Volume Risk and Contractual Complications
    Reduced demand from US customers and the need to renegotiate contracts to clarify responsibility for tariff costs may further pressure revenue streams.

Practical Steps to Consider

We recommend taking a proactive approach to assess the financial impact of these changes and identify strategies to mitigate risk. Consider the following options:

  • Establishing a US-based facility for final-stage assembly to potentially limit tariff exposure on finished goods.
  • Revisiting your pricing model to absorb costs on price-sensitive items while adjusting margins on products with limited competition.
  • Exploring market diversification, reducing reliance on the US by expanding into alternative export destinations.
  • Conducting a supply chain review to identify opportunities for cost reduction via sourcing alternatives or shipping efficiencies.
  • Engaging with government export programs to access financial assistance and advisory support during periods of trade disruption.

If your business is affected by the new US tariff regime, we encourage you to speak with us. We can help you evaluate your exposure, assess your current export model, and develop a tailored action plan to maintain your financial position.

Graham Burfield
Author
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